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Survivorship bias

Studying only the companies that survived to today and ignoring the ones that delisted or went bankrupt. It makes past strategies look far better than they really were; our panel data is survivorship-free.

The bias is sneaky because it is built into convenient data: a free price API typically only knows tickers that still trade, so a 'buy losers' backtest silently skips the losers that went to zero.

Fixing it requires point-in-time membership — knowing exactly which stocks existed and were investable on each historical date. Our Japanese-equity panel was rebuilt that way, and several strategies that looked attractive on survivor-only data stopped working once the dead companies were put back in.

See it in the researchThe evidenceWhat actually works

Educational definitions only. Not investment advice.