ai-stock-agentPer-provider paper track
ollama
- Runs
- 229
- Latest equity
- $102,831.67
- Cash
- $69,351.50
- Positions
- 3
Latest run
20260626-111452 · 2026-06-26T11:14:52.532940+00:00
Action breakdown
Decisions
- NVDAHOLDconv 0.35
- MSFTHOLDconv 0.35
- GOOGLHOLDconv 0.35
- METAHOLDconv 0.25
- AAPLHOLDconv 0.10
- AMZNHOLDconv 0.35
- TSLAHOLDconv 0.25
- AMDHOLDconv 0.35
- AVGOHOLDconv 0.35
- PLTRHOLDconv 0.15
- SMCIHOLDconv 0.35
- ARMHOLDconv 0.35
- TSMHOLDconv 0.25
- ASMLHOLDconv 0.35
- MUBUYconv 0.70
Research readiness
Can we actually test whether this framework has edge? An honest read on the data — not a backtest.
Data on hand
- Runs
- 229
- Days
- 24
- Decisions
- 3343
- Sell decisions
- 316
- Filled / orders
- 133/151
- Equity marks
- 0
- Provider
- ollama ×229
Known gaps
- Too little history — walk-forward needs months of trading days.(have 24 / need 60)
- Too few equity marks for a meaningful equity curve.(have 0 / need 30)
Signal attribution (schema)
Which signal carried the edge? Decided per signal once outcomes close — unknown until then.
| Signal | Supported | Later outcome | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bullish equity research analyst | unknown | unknown | Unknown — insufficient history |
| Bearish equity research analyst | unknown | unknown | Unknown — insufficient history |
| Technical / price-action analyst | unknown | unknown | Unknown — insufficient history |
| Fundamental analyst | unknown | unknown | Unknown — insufficient history |
| Risk manager (stop / take-profit / halt) | unknown | unknown | Unknown — insufficient history |
No backtest results are claimed. Attribution stays “unknown” until enough out-of-sample outcome windows close.
Read-only research audit. No backtest has been run and no profitability is claimed.
Research outcomes — paper replay
For each past paper decision, what did price do afterward — measured only from later trading days.
- Evaluated
- 3343
- Pending
- 15
- Partial
- 193
- Closed
- 3135
- No data
- 0
Price data as of: 2026-06-26
Raw close-to-close price movement after the decision, before fees and slippage. Not P&L, not direction-adjusted, not a backtest.
Read-only paper replay. No profitability is claimed; outcomes only mature into evidence once enough windows close.
Signal attribution
Which evidence lanes supported or opposed each decision — recorded now, scored only once outcomes close.
Coverage
- Decisions
- 3343
- With attribution
- 3343
- Ready to score
- 3135
Lanes represented (decisions with a known stance)
- Agent decision3343
- Technical3343
- Risk3240
- Event awarenessunknown
- Thesisunknown
- World Monitorunknown
Stances recorded
- Supports buy
- 2033
- Supports hold
- 3014
- Supports sell
- 1683
- Caution
- 3196
Each decision links to its Research Outcomes window; stances mature into evidence only as those windows close.
Attribution is not causation: a lane supporting a decision does not mean it caused the result.
Read-only attribution coverage. No edge or profitability is claimed.
Post-mortem loop
Reviewing decisions after their outcome windows close — to learn, not to score. Nothing is reviewed until a window closes.
- Closed
- 3135
- Pending
- 208
- Review queue
- 3135
Status: Ready for review
What will be reviewed once windows close
- Each closed decision against its t+1/t+3/t+7d outcome (later prices only).
- Whether each evidence lane's stance lined up with the realized move.
- Whether the red-team memo's failure modes actually mattered.
- A short human-readable lesson per decision (no automatic grade).
Future signal grades (not applied yet)
- Correct warning
- False alarm
- Missed risk
- Useful support
- Noise
Read-only. No win rate, profitability, or edge is computed; review begins only once outcome windows close.
Other tracks
Read-only per-provider track. Paper only — no real orders, no edge or profitability claimed. Per-provider validation panels (outcomes / attribution / sizing / red-team / post-mortem) are the next slice.