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Run 20260716-210031

2026/7/17 6:00:31

総資産: $101,820.55·現金: $51,456.73·保有銘柄数: 6
デモ プロバイダ · ペーパーのみ · 有料 LLM なし · demo · in-process-paper
摩擦コスト: 今回の約定なしトレンド: リスクオン (23.1%)

議論

アクションの意味

  • BUY= 買い候補
  • HOLD= 様子見
  • SELL= 売り・縮小候補

デモ表示のみ。 実際の発注は行いません。 BUY / HOLD / SELL は トレーダー エージェントの判断であり、 あなたへの売買推奨ではありません。

NVDA

HOLD(様子見)確信度 0.51目標比率 0.0%

トレーダー: トークン不使用の決定論的デモ判断(アナリストスコア平均 +0.25)。Anthropic/OpenAI/Gemini の API は呼んでいません。ペーパーのガードレールは適用されます。

アナリスト ブリーフを表示 (4)
Bullish equity research analystスコア +0.38

Demo analyst view for NVDA: bullish evidence from current public market data. Bull case favors positive trend, growth, and margin durability. This is deterministic paper-demo research, not an external LLM call.

Bearish equity research analystスコア -0.10

Demo analyst view for NVDA: mixed evidence from current public market data. Bear case focuses on valuation, crowding, and overbought risk. This is deterministic paper-demo research, not an external LLM call.

Technical / price-action analystスコア +0.20

Demo analyst view for NVDA: mixed evidence from current public market data. Trend=mixed, MACD histogram=1.699, RSI=52.12027205283197. This is deterministic paper-demo research, not an external LLM call.

Fundamental analystスコア +0.52

Demo analyst view for NVDA: bullish evidence from current public market data. Growth and margin checks drive the score: revenue_growth=0.852, earnings_growth=2.145, margins=0.62966, forward_pe=16.196886. This is deterministic paper-demo research, not an external LLM call.

リスク マネージャー

- Paper-demo risk: no live broker order will be sent by this provider. - Signal dispersion is 0.62; mixed analyst scores should reduce sizing. - Position caps, sector caps, kill switch, and drawdown halt remain in force. - Treat outputs as research telemetry, not investment advice.

MSFT

HOLD(様子見)確信度 0.44目標比率 0.0%

トレーダー: トークン不使用の決定論的デモ判断(アナリストスコア平均 +0.14)。Anthropic/OpenAI/Gemini の API は呼んでいません。ペーパーのガードレールは適用されます。

アナリスト ブリーフを表示 (4)
Bullish equity research analystスコア +0.29

Demo analyst view for MSFT: bullish evidence from current public market data. Bull case favors positive trend, growth, and margin durability. This is deterministic paper-demo research, not an external LLM call.

Bearish equity research analystスコア -0.10

Demo analyst view for MSFT: mixed evidence from current public market data. Bear case focuses on valuation, crowding, and overbought risk. This is deterministic paper-demo research, not an external LLM call.

Technical / price-action analystスコア -0.15

Demo analyst view for MSFT: mixed evidence from current public market data. Trend=bearish, MACD histogram=3.513, RSI=56.24805290095842. This is deterministic paper-demo research, not an external LLM call.

Fundamental analystスコア +0.52

Demo analyst view for MSFT: bullish evidence from current public market data. Growth and margin checks drive the score: revenue_growth=0.183, earnings_growth=0.234, margins=0.39341998, forward_pe=20.698826. This is deterministic paper-demo research, not an external LLM call.

リスク マネージャー

- Paper-demo risk: no live broker order will be sent by this provider. - Signal dispersion is 0.67; mixed analyst scores should reduce sizing. - Position caps, sector caps, kill switch, and drawdown halt remain in force. - Treat outputs as research telemetry, not investment advice.

GOOGL

HOLD(様子見)確信度 0.51目標比率 0.0%

トレーダー: トークン不使用の決定論的デモ判断(アナリストスコア平均 +0.25)。Anthropic/OpenAI/Gemini の API は呼んでいません。ペーパーのガードレールは適用されます。

アナリスト ブリーフを表示 (4)
Bullish equity research analystスコア +0.38

Demo analyst view for GOOGL: bullish evidence from current public market data. Bull case favors positive trend, growth, and margin durability. This is deterministic paper-demo research, not an external LLM call.

Bearish equity research analystスコア -0.10

Demo analyst view for GOOGL: mixed evidence from current public market data. Bear case focuses on valuation, crowding, and overbought risk. This is deterministic paper-demo research, not an external LLM call.

Technical / price-action analystスコア +0.20

Demo analyst view for GOOGL: mixed evidence from current public market data. Trend=mixed, MACD histogram=0.856, RSI=46.211471529946635. This is deterministic paper-demo research, not an external LLM call.

Fundamental analystスコア +0.52

Demo analyst view for GOOGL: bullish evidence from current public market data. Growth and margin checks drive the score: revenue_growth=0.218, earnings_growth=0.82, margins=0.37919, forward_pe=24.237309. This is deterministic paper-demo research, not an external LLM call.

リスク マネージャー

- Paper-demo risk: no live broker order will be sent by this provider. - Signal dispersion is 0.62; mixed analyst scores should reduce sizing. - Position caps, sector caps, kill switch, and drawdown halt remain in force. - Treat outputs as research telemetry, not investment advice.

META

HOLD(様子見)確信度 0.51目標比率 0.0%

トレーダー: トークン不使用の決定論的デモ判断(アナリストスコア平均 +0.25)。Anthropic/OpenAI/Gemini の API は呼んでいません。ペーパーのガードレールは適用されます。

アナリスト ブリーフを表示 (4)
Bullish equity research analystスコア +0.38

Demo analyst view for META: bullish evidence from current public market data. Bull case favors positive trend, growth, and margin durability. This is deterministic paper-demo research, not an external LLM call.

Bearish equity research analystスコア -0.10

Demo analyst view for META: mixed evidence from current public market data. Bear case focuses on valuation, crowding, and overbought risk. This is deterministic paper-demo research, not an external LLM call.

Technical / price-action analystスコア +0.20

Demo analyst view for META: mixed evidence from current public market data. Trend=mixed, MACD histogram=10.938, RSI=61.83067864855324. This is deterministic paper-demo research, not an external LLM call.

Fundamental analystスコア +0.52

Demo analyst view for META: bullish evidence from current public market data. Growth and margin checks drive the score: revenue_growth=0.331, earnings_growth=0.624, margins=0.32837, forward_pe=18.292294. This is deterministic paper-demo research, not an external LLM call.

リスク マネージャー

- Paper-demo risk: no live broker order will be sent by this provider. - Signal dispersion is 0.62; mixed analyst scores should reduce sizing. - Position caps, sector caps, kill switch, and drawdown halt remain in force. - Treat outputs as research telemetry, not investment advice.

AAPL

BUY(買い候補)確信度 0.59目標比率 10.8%

トレーダー: トークン不使用の決定論的デモ判断(アナリストスコア平均 +0.38)。Anthropic/OpenAI/Gemini の API は呼んでいません。ペーパーのガードレールは適用されます。

アナリスト ブリーフを表示 (4)
Bullish equity research analystスコア +0.53

Demo analyst view for AAPL: bullish evidence from current public market data. Bull case favors positive trend, growth, and margin durability. This is deterministic paper-demo research, not an external LLM call.

Bearish equity research analystスコア -0.10

Demo analyst view for AAPL: mixed evidence from current public market data. Bear case focuses on valuation, crowding, and overbought risk. This is deterministic paper-demo research, not an external LLM call.

Technical / price-action analystスコア +0.55

Demo analyst view for AAPL: bullish evidence from current public market data. Trend=bullish, MACD histogram=3.229, RSI=71.43127261266073. This is deterministic paper-demo research, not an external LLM call.

Fundamental analystスコア +0.52

Demo analyst view for AAPL: bullish evidence from current public market data. Growth and margin checks drive the score: revenue_growth=0.166, earnings_growth=0.218, margins=0.27152002, forward_pe=34.639137. This is deterministic paper-demo research, not an external LLM call.

リスク マネージャー

- Paper-demo risk: no live broker order will be sent by this provider. - Signal dispersion is 0.65; mixed analyst scores should reduce sizing. - Position caps, sector caps, kill switch, and drawdown halt remain in force. - Treat outputs as research telemetry, not investment advice.

AMZN

HOLD(様子見)確信度 0.48目標比率 0.0%

トレーダー: トークン不使用の決定論的デモ判断(アナリストスコア平均 +0.20)。Anthropic/OpenAI/Gemini の API は呼んでいません。ペーパーのガードレールは適用されます。

アナリスト ブリーフを表示 (4)
Bullish equity research analystスコア +0.31

Demo analyst view for AMZN: bullish evidence from current public market data. Bull case favors positive trend, growth, and margin durability. This is deterministic paper-demo research, not an external LLM call.

Bearish equity research analystスコア -0.10

Demo analyst view for AMZN: mixed evidence from current public market data. Bear case focuses on valuation, crowding, and overbought risk. This is deterministic paper-demo research, not an external LLM call.

Technical / price-action analystスコア +0.20

Demo analyst view for AMZN: mixed evidence from current public market data. Trend=mixed, MACD histogram=1.946, RSI=54.190937234014015. This is deterministic paper-demo research, not an external LLM call.

Fundamental analystスコア +0.40

Demo analyst view for AMZN: bullish evidence from current public market data. Growth and margin checks drive the score: revenue_growth=0.166, earnings_growth=0.748, margins=0.12224, forward_pe=25.225641. This is deterministic paper-demo research, not an external LLM call.

リスク マネージャー

- Paper-demo risk: no live broker order will be sent by this provider. - Signal dispersion is 0.50; mixed analyst scores should reduce sizing. - Position caps, sector caps, kill switch, and drawdown halt remain in force. - Treat outputs as research telemetry, not investment advice.

TSLA

HOLD(様子見)確信度 0.45目標比率 0.0%

トレーダー: トークン不使用の決定論的デモ判断(アナリストスコア平均 -0.15)。Anthropic/OpenAI/Gemini の API は呼んでいません。ペーパーのガードレールは適用されます。

アナリスト ブリーフを表示 (4)
Bullish equity research analystスコア +0.04

Demo analyst view for TSLA: mixed evidence from current public market data. Bull case favors positive trend, growth, and margin durability. This is deterministic paper-demo research, not an external LLM call.

Bearish equity research analystスコア -0.18

Demo analyst view for TSLA: mixed evidence from current public market data. Bear case focuses on valuation, crowding, and overbought risk. This is deterministic paper-demo research, not an external LLM call.

Technical / price-action analystスコア -0.55

Demo analyst view for TSLA: bearish evidence from current public market data. Trend=bearish, MACD histogram=-0.818, RSI=45.988601168670016. This is deterministic paper-demo research, not an external LLM call.

Fundamental analystスコア +0.08

Demo analyst view for TSLA: mixed evidence from current public market data. Growth and margin checks drive the score: revenue_growth=0.158, earnings_growth=0.083, margins=0.03946, forward_pe=153.11069. This is deterministic paper-demo research, not an external LLM call.

リスク マネージャー

- Paper-demo risk: no live broker order will be sent by this provider. - Signal dispersion is 0.63; mixed analyst scores should reduce sizing. - Position caps, sector caps, kill switch, and drawdown halt remain in force. - Treat outputs as research telemetry, not investment advice.

AMD

HOLD(様子見)確信度 0.47目標比率 0.0%

トレーダー: トークン不使用の決定論的デモ判断(アナリストスコア平均 +0.18)。Anthropic/OpenAI/Gemini の API は呼んでいません。ペーパーのガードレールは適用されます。

アナリスト ブリーフを表示 (4)
Bullish equity research analystスコア +0.29

Demo analyst view for AMD: bullish evidence from current public market data. Bull case favors positive trend, growth, and margin durability. This is deterministic paper-demo research, not an external LLM call.

Bearish equity research analystスコア -0.10

Demo analyst view for AMD: mixed evidence from current public market data. Bear case focuses on valuation, crowding, and overbought risk. This is deterministic paper-demo research, not an external LLM call.

Technical / price-action analystスコア +0.15

Demo analyst view for AMD: mixed evidence from current public market data. Trend=bullish, MACD histogram=-6.300, RSI=46.91614406273942. This is deterministic paper-demo research, not an external LLM call.

Fundamental analystスコア +0.40

Demo analyst view for AMD: bullish evidence from current public market data. Growth and margin checks drive the score: revenue_growth=0.378, earnings_growth=0.912, margins=0.13374, forward_pe=37.20384. This is deterministic paper-demo research, not an external LLM call.

リスク マネージャー

- Paper-demo risk: no live broker order will be sent by this provider. - Signal dispersion is 0.50; mixed analyst scores should reduce sizing. - Position caps, sector caps, kill switch, and drawdown halt remain in force. - Treat outputs as research telemetry, not investment advice.

AVGO

HOLD(様子見)確信度 0.51目標比率 0.0%

トレーダー: トークン不使用の決定論的デモ判断(アナリストスコア平均 +0.25)。Anthropic/OpenAI/Gemini の API は呼んでいません。ペーパーのガードレールは適用されます。

アナリスト ブリーフを表示 (4)
Bullish equity research analystスコア +0.38

Demo analyst view for AVGO: bullish evidence from current public market data. Bull case favors positive trend, growth, and margin durability. This is deterministic paper-demo research, not an external LLM call.

Bearish equity research analystスコア -0.10

Demo analyst view for AVGO: mixed evidence from current public market data. Bear case focuses on valuation, crowding, and overbought risk. This is deterministic paper-demo research, not an external LLM call.

Technical / price-action analystスコア +0.20

Demo analyst view for AVGO: mixed evidence from current public market data. Trend=mixed, MACD histogram=1.926, RSI=44.96740413661498. This is deterministic paper-demo research, not an external LLM call.

Fundamental analystスコア +0.52

Demo analyst view for AVGO: bullish evidence from current public market data. Growth and margin checks drive the score: revenue_growth=0.479, earnings_growth=0.854, margins=0.38848, forward_pe=19.284746. This is deterministic paper-demo research, not an external LLM call.

リスク マネージャー

- Paper-demo risk: no live broker order will be sent by this provider. - Signal dispersion is 0.62; mixed analyst scores should reduce sizing. - Position caps, sector caps, kill switch, and drawdown halt remain in force. - Treat outputs as research telemetry, not investment advice.

PLTR

HOLD(様子見)確信度 0.48目標比率 0.0%

トレーダー: トークン不使用の決定論的デモ判断(アナリストスコア平均 +0.20)。Anthropic/OpenAI/Gemini の API は呼んでいません。ペーパーのガードレールは適用されます。

アナリスト ブリーフを表示 (4)
Bullish equity research analystスコア +0.31

Demo analyst view for PLTR: bullish evidence from current public market data. Bull case favors positive trend, growth, and margin durability. This is deterministic paper-demo research, not an external LLM call.

Bearish equity research analystスコア -0.10

Demo analyst view for PLTR: mixed evidence from current public market data. Bear case focuses on valuation, crowding, and overbought risk. This is deterministic paper-demo research, not an external LLM call.

Technical / price-action analystスコア +0.20

Demo analyst view for PLTR: mixed evidence from current public market data. Trend=mixed, MACD histogram=1.749, RSI=55.692186672312204. This is deterministic paper-demo research, not an external LLM call.

Fundamental analystスコア +0.40

Demo analyst view for PLTR: bullish evidence from current public market data. Growth and margin checks drive the score: revenue_growth=0.847, earnings_growth=3.25, margins=0.43673, forward_pe=64.18777. This is deterministic paper-demo research, not an external LLM call.

リスク マネージャー

- Paper-demo risk: no live broker order will be sent by this provider. - Signal dispersion is 0.50; mixed analyst scores should reduce sizing. - Position caps, sector caps, kill switch, and drawdown halt remain in force. - Treat outputs as research telemetry, not investment advice.

SMCI

HOLD(様子見)確信度 0.35目標比率 0.0%

トレーダー: トークン不使用の決定論的デモ判断(アナリストスコア平均 -0.01)。Anthropic/OpenAI/Gemini の API は呼んでいません。ペーパーのガードレールは適用されます。

アナリスト ブリーフを表示 (4)
Bullish equity research analystスコア +0.22

Demo analyst view for SMCI: bullish evidence from current public market data. Bull case favors positive trend, growth, and margin durability. This is deterministic paper-demo research, not an external LLM call.

Bearish equity research analystスコア -0.10

Demo analyst view for SMCI: mixed evidence from current public market data. Bear case focuses on valuation, crowding, and overbought risk. This is deterministic paper-demo research, not an external LLM call.

Technical / price-action analystスコア -0.55

Demo analyst view for SMCI: bearish evidence from current public market data. Trend=bearish, MACD histogram=-0.147, RSI=35.719323084566156. This is deterministic paper-demo research, not an external LLM call.

Fundamental analystスコア +0.40

Demo analyst view for SMCI: bullish evidence from current public market data. Growth and margin checks drive the score: revenue_growth=1.227, earnings_growth=3.26, margins=0.03701, forward_pe=7.897827. This is deterministic paper-demo research, not an external LLM call.

リスク マネージャー

- Paper-demo risk: no live broker order will be sent by this provider. - Signal dispersion is 0.95; mixed analyst scores should reduce sizing. - Position caps, sector caps, kill switch, and drawdown halt remain in force. - Treat outputs as research telemetry, not investment advice.

ARM

HOLD(様子見)確信度 0.40目標比率 0.0%

トレーダー: トークン不使用の決定論的デモ判断(アナリストスコア平均 +0.08)。Anthropic/OpenAI/Gemini の API は呼んでいません。ペーパーのガードレールは適用されます。

アナリスト ブリーフを表示 (4)
Bullish equity research analystスコア +0.22

Demo analyst view for ARM: bullish evidence from current public market data. Bull case favors positive trend, growth, and margin durability. This is deterministic paper-demo research, not an external LLM call.

Bearish equity research analystスコア -0.10

Demo analyst view for ARM: mixed evidence from current public market data. Bear case focuses on valuation, crowding, and overbought risk. This is deterministic paper-demo research, not an external LLM call.

Technical / price-action analystスコア -0.20

Demo analyst view for ARM: mixed evidence from current public market data. Trend=mixed, MACD histogram=-10.858, RSI=36.732552668831495. This is deterministic paper-demo research, not an external LLM call.

Fundamental analystスコア +0.40

Demo analyst view for ARM: bullish evidence from current public market data. Growth and margin checks drive the score: revenue_growth=0.201, earnings_growth=0.479, margins=0.18374, forward_pe=85.07923. This is deterministic paper-demo research, not an external LLM call.

リスク マネージャー

- Paper-demo risk: no live broker order will be sent by this provider. - Signal dispersion is 0.60; mixed analyst scores should reduce sizing. - Position caps, sector caps, kill switch, and drawdown halt remain in force. - Treat outputs as research telemetry, not investment advice.

TSM

HOLD(様子見)確信度 0.43目標比率 0.0%

トレーダー: トークン不使用の決定論的デモ判断(アナリストスコア平均 +0.13)。Anthropic/OpenAI/Gemini の API は呼んでいません。ペーパーのガードレールは適用されます。

アナリスト ブリーフを表示 (4)
Bullish equity research analystスコア +0.29

Demo analyst view for TSM: bullish evidence from current public market data. Bull case favors positive trend, growth, and margin durability. This is deterministic paper-demo research, not an external LLM call.

Bearish equity research analystスコア -0.10

Demo analyst view for TSM: mixed evidence from current public market data. Bear case focuses on valuation, crowding, and overbought risk. This is deterministic paper-demo research, not an external LLM call.

Technical / price-action analystスコア -0.20

Demo analyst view for TSM: mixed evidence from current public market data. Trend=mixed, MACD histogram=-4.957, RSI=42.37116109118973. This is deterministic paper-demo research, not an external LLM call.

Fundamental analystスコア +0.52

Demo analyst view for TSM: bullish evidence from current public market data. Growth and margin checks drive the score: revenue_growth=0.351, earnings_growth=0.584, margins=0.46505, forward_pe=19.764154. This is deterministic paper-demo research, not an external LLM call.

リスク マネージャー

- Paper-demo risk: no live broker order will be sent by this provider. - Signal dispersion is 0.72; mixed analyst scores should reduce sizing. - Position caps, sector caps, kill switch, and drawdown halt remain in force. - Treat outputs as research telemetry, not investment advice.

ASML

HOLD(様子見)確信度 0.45目標比率 0.0%

トレーダー: トークン不使用の決定論的デモ判断(アナリストスコア平均 +0.15)。Anthropic/OpenAI/Gemini の API は呼んでいません。ペーパーのガードレールは適用されます。

アナリスト ブリーフを表示 (4)
Bullish equity research analystスコア +0.24

Demo analyst view for ASML: bullish evidence from current public market data. Bull case favors positive trend, growth, and margin durability. This is deterministic paper-demo research, not an external LLM call.

Bearish equity research analystスコア -0.10

Demo analyst view for ASML: mixed evidence from current public market data. Bear case focuses on valuation, crowding, and overbought risk. This is deterministic paper-demo research, not an external LLM call.

Technical / price-action analystスコア +0.15

Demo analyst view for ASML: mixed evidence from current public market data. Trend=bullish, MACD histogram=-14.174, RSI=50.4563001155808. This is deterministic paper-demo research, not an external LLM call.

Fundamental analystスコア +0.32

Demo analyst view for ASML: bullish evidence from current public market data. Growth and margin checks drive the score: revenue_growth=0.213, earnings_growth=None, margins=0.30114, forward_pe=31.550293. This is deterministic paper-demo research, not an external LLM call.

リスク マネージャー

- Paper-demo risk: no live broker order will be sent by this provider. - Signal dispersion is 0.42; mixed analyst scores should reduce sizing. - Position caps, sector caps, kill switch, and drawdown halt remain in force. - Treat outputs as research telemetry, not investment advice.

MU

HOLD(様子見)確信度 0.43目標比率 0.0%

トレーダー: トークン不使用の決定論的デモ判断(アナリストスコア平均 +0.13)。Anthropic/OpenAI/Gemini の API は呼んでいません。ペーパーのガードレールは適用されます。

アナリスト ブリーフを表示 (4)
Bullish equity research analystスコア +0.29

Demo analyst view for MU: bullish evidence from current public market data. Bull case favors positive trend, growth, and margin durability. This is deterministic paper-demo research, not an external LLM call.

Bearish equity research analystスコア -0.10

Demo analyst view for MU: mixed evidence from current public market data. Bear case focuses on valuation, crowding, and overbought risk. This is deterministic paper-demo research, not an external LLM call.

Technical / price-action analystスコア -0.20

Demo analyst view for MU: mixed evidence from current public market data. Trend=mixed, MACD histogram=-29.718, RSI=41.257409535897395. This is deterministic paper-demo research, not an external LLM call.

Fundamental analystスコア +0.52

Demo analyst view for MU: bullish evidence from current public market data. Growth and margin checks drive the score: revenue_growth=3.457, earnings_growth=13.685, margins=0.55906, forward_pe=5.6704035. This is deterministic paper-demo research, not an external LLM call.

リスク マネージャー

- Paper-demo risk: no live broker order will be sent by this provider. - Signal dispersion is 0.72; mixed analyst scores should reduce sizing. - Position caps, sector caps, kill switch, and drawdown halt remain in force. - Treat outputs as research telemetry, not investment advice.